灭顶之灾要来了!HR1044通过后中国人办绿卡将有六年寸草不生

不说专业名词,说多了大家也未必记得。全文用通俗的语言说明问题严重性。

末尾有具体的action items,模板都整好了,就等你套用!

什么是HR1044?

简单点说,目前绿卡申请每年都有名额;名额按照国家分配,每个国家有上限,不能超过7%。

印度人和中国人最多,因为名额有限,不得不排期等绿卡,中国人目前排期在2016年,意味着2016年提交申请的人,现在才轮到;而印度人太多了,现在才轮到2009年的申请人 - 没错,是2009!排期长达10年!

这几年互联网行业就业好,H1B签证远远不够,随着越来越多的人来排队,据计算,很多印度人可能要等20年才能拿到绿卡!

HR1044是一个新议案,如果通过,将打消按照国家的限制。2020年-2022年之间,对除中印之外的其他国家预留少量名额保护;2022年开始,彻底没有限制,所有国家的人混在一起申请绿卡。

中国人因此能拿到更多名额,这听上去是好事,为什么要反对?

取消国家限制是个great idea,但现实是:绿卡申请并非一个clean start,而是有大量遗留问题。前面说了,印度人排期在2009年,而中国人在2016年。

如果取消排期,会按照“先入先出”原则,从2009年的申请人开始处理,这意味着先要处理完2009-2016年之间挤压的印度申请人,才能轮到中国人。

下图给你一个直观的感受 - 黄色是HR1044通过后,中国人每年分配的绿卡名额:

HR1044通过之后,前几年可能会有少数中国人上岸(比如今年提交上485)。但是随着时间推移,恶果会显示出来。 从2023年到2028年,长达六年时间,中国人会被剃光头、一个绿卡名额都没有,全世界都得让路给印度人。

所以, 需要开香槟庆祝的是印度人 ,其他国家人数少,而且前三年有最低名额保护着, 最倒霉的就是中国人

为什么不着眼未来? 因为从2029年开始,中国人分配的名额也会增多?

2029年是10年后,鬼知道10年内发生什么事情?!

十年内中国人寸草不生,十年后给你繁荣昌盛 - 你真觉得可信?

类似的情况:H1B每年名额不够用,所以得抽签。那十年内H1B一个名额都不给中国人,十年后H1B全给中国人,你是否支持?十年后,还有没有H1B都是个问题;就算有,也许早改革了,不需要抽签了呢。

早些年,印度人在美国全面碾压中国人;现在,印度人依然占绝对优势,但是2009年金融危机过后,随着中国留学生的增多,我们也在越来越多的一线公司里看到中国人manager甚至director、VP出现了。可以说,过去十年里,留美华人好容易“破土而出”了。十年拿不到绿卡,无疑是场“寒霜”。

尽快拿到绿卡,会有更多的人后顾无忧,大胆尝试;而有足够多的人闯荡,我们才能看到更多中国人脱颖而出,才会形成规模效应。

现在H1B RFE这么厉害,超过40%的申请会被RFE,ICC申请工作签证被严重遏制,将来,不会有那么多印度人申请绿卡吧?

You wish。除非移民法改革,极度青睐美国毕业的本科和研究生、杜绝只有非美国学位的人申请,否则大量没有留学背景的印度人不会放弃美国梦的。而且,移民局如果政策变了呢?打击ICC是否会长期执行?

总之,通过HR1044,印度人拿到的是实打实的现在 + 未来,而中国人失去十年 + 希望希望未来会更好。

HR1044目前什么进展?

7月10日下午,刚刚通过了众议院,而且是高票通过。下面要进入参议院,如果通过了,最后就是Trump做决定了。

机智如你,肯定不会指望Trump的。

如果你不想做咸鱼,你想横竖都奋争一下,那么下面是需要你做的。

已经有人写好了模板,参议院(Senate)议员的电子邮箱也有人整理好了

适用范围:民主党议员。 共和党议员也能用,但是这封信主要强调diversity,共和党议员的话你可以再多强调一点American First。意识形态原因,这封信里没有说American First。
本模板优点:简单粗暴,只要改名字(红色部分),其他部分都可以ctrl+v,无须修改。

信件内容主要来自“手把手教你写”那个帖子里的一个fact pdf,还有网上找的其他模板,pdf发在附件了。如果你写信可以加附件,请记得加上这个pdf。
信件前半部分讲为什么现在这个bill很有害,后半部分讲如果你想帮助印度backlog还有其他更好方法(比如增加配额到15%等),这部分主要是为了体现我们不是自私自利,如果不喜欢可以删除这部分。
如果你有空,可以加点自己的故事什么的。

鼓励广泛传播,一起来反对这个法案。

你只需要往电子邮箱里发模板邮件就可以了。也请转发朋友圈,呼吁更多人参与。

模板

========================

Dear Representative (Senator) XX,

Legislative Bill HR 1044, “Fairness for High-Skilled Immigrants Act of 2019” is one of the most controversial, yet potentially damaging legislation in Congress. This legislation favors only one country, encourages H1b abuses, and allows it to completely co-opt the entire Employment Based Green Card program .

A “YES VOTE” or co-sponsoring HR1044, “Fairness for High-Skilled Immigrants Act of 2019”, would effectively wipe out ethnic diversity in the skilled legal immigration system and be detrimental to the vital interests of the USA.

While sympathizing the long backlog that immigrants origin in India are currently suffering, I believe HR1044 will only make the situation worse because:

1. It does not increase the quota of legal immigration, but only redistribute it among Indian immigrants and immigrants from the rest of the world. Currently, there are 466K Indian nationals in the backlog (per CRS Dec 2018 report in EB/2), so it will take about 12 years for these applicants to receive their GC. As a result, every new applicant from the rest of the world will be thrown into an overnight 12-year wait.

2. HR1044/S386 encourages H1b abuse, which is disastrous for nearly everyone except for multinational tech giants and outsourcing companies, who are utilizing the H1b as well as the EB2/3 programs to exploit cheap labor from other countries. Due to the institutional support from outsourcing companies, it has been much easier for the outsourced personnel to enter the EB2/3 queue compared to people who come to study and file green card application after they have landed a job in the US. As this bill does not have any clauses to restrain H1b abuse effectively, passing it will encourage more H1b abuse, which benefits the tech giants but worsens the situation of local workers. It also kills the dream of most foreign nationals (including Indians) seeking to immigrate to the US via fair market competition rather than through outsourcing companies. With this bill passed, it will become even harder and almost impossible to survive a chance if they have to compete individually against the outsourcing companies.

3. HR1044/S386 will effectively wipe out ethnic and skill/industry diversity from other countries for more than 12 years as only Indian nationals will receive EB GCs in a first-come, first-serve waiting line.

Indian nationals constitute about 17% of the world’s population & about 17% of the international students; but at the same time, they receive about 75% of H1B visas AND 55-60% of PERM Labor Filings. Effectively, Indian nationals DOMINATE the H1B & PERM Labor Certification process, essentially crowding out foreign nationals from 190+ other countries! The 7% country caps is the only measure curtailing the absolute monopolization of the EB Green Cards by India.

If HR1044/S386 is passed, the Employment-Based immigration program will become an Indian-First, Indian-Only program, which eliminates any possibility of an ethnically & culturally diverse immigration community.

4. HR1044/S386 has a profound negative impact on universities in the US. Partly contributed by H1b abuse, many Indians in the US work in the IT sector and have only a Bachelor’s degree from universities in India. HR1044/ S386 will effectively prioritize applicants with foreign undergraduate degrees over US PhDs & Master’s degrees. This will cause more talents, including those from India, to avoid studying in the US since it does not pay off. Furthermore, because the majority of MDs and RNs are NOT from India, this bill will lead to sudden and critical shortages in underserved areas.

On the other hand, I think there are much better ways to solve the backlog program without the catastrophic side effects as listed above.

For example, the current bill puts an 85% cap on each country, which may cause one country to monopoly the system. However, if we set this ratio to a more modest number, e.g. 15%, it is still higher than the current quota, thus processing the backlog faster, but will not come at the cost of all other nationals and will not encourage H1b abuse and outsourcing in the way that the current bill does.

Furthermore, I firmly believe that the bill will serve its purpose ONLY AFTER ending the H1b abuse. Any laws and/or regulations on immigration/visa quota is likely to be abused by outsourcing companies if we pass them without ending the abuse. If we increase the quota, they are likely to exploit more cheap labor. If we redistribute the quota, they are privileged in helping more cheap labor in the tech industry to get into the queue that originally is designed for all employers and immigrants. We have to identify and stop the abuse before anything else, while HR1044/S386 just ignores this critical issue.

Finally, I agree that we should address the backlog problem that Indian immigrants face, yet a special deal to help them who are already in the queue is better than an institutionalized pathway benefiting only tech giants and outsourcing companies at the cost of everyone else in the long run. An amnesty bill could help clear the backlog, but we should not encourage more outsourcing and H1b abuse just to give green card to the people who are already in the queue.

Above are my arguments against the HR1044/S386 bill. I urge you to vote “NO” to the bill until it addresses all the above issues. Our immigration system should not be abused and we should act to protect the diversity of our immigration community.

Thank you and looking forward to your reply!

Yours sincerely,
XX

senator list:

anne_caldwell@shelby.senate.gov
olivia_chartier@jones.senate.gov
kristen_daimler@murkowski.senate.gov
avery_fogels@sullivan.senate.gov
jamie_lynch@sinema.senate.gov
chase_casel@mcsally.senate.gov
holly_lewis@boozman.senate.gov
joni_deoudes@cotton.senate.gov
chesna_foord@feinstein.senate.gov
marguerite_biagi@harris.senate.gov
kristin_mollet@bennet.senate.gov
amy_barrera@gardner.senate.gov
michael_lawson@blumenthal.senate.gov
maya_ashwal@murphy.senate.gov
scheduling@carper.senate.gov
chelsa_moser@coons.senate.gov
bridget_spurlock@rubio.senate.gov
megan_bailey@rickscott.senate.gov
kristine_nichols@isakson.senate.gov
gabriele_forsyth@perdue.senate.gov
diane_miyasato@schatz.senate.gov
blaine_nolan@hirono.senate.gov
kathleen_amacio@crapo.senate.gov
alexa_green@risch.senate.gov
claire_reuschel@durbin.senate.gov
kelsey_becker@duckworth.senate.gov
lindsay_mcdonough@young.senate.gov
jessica_wedgewood@braun.senate.gov
jennifer_heins@grassley.senate.gov
josie_beecher@ernst.senate.gov
jensine_moyer@roberts.senate.gov
emily_whitfield@moran.senate.gov
laura_vincent@mcconnell.senate.gov
drake_henle@paul.senate.gov
zoe_aguillard@cassidy.senate.gov
kristin_sapperstein@kennedy.senate.gov
darci_greenacre@collins.senate.gov
claire_bridgeo@king.senate.gov
debbie_yamada@cardin.senate.gov
scheduling@vanhollen.senate.gov
emily_ross@warren.senate.gov
sarah_butler@markey.senate.gov
anne_stanski@stabenow.senate.gov
angeli_chawla@peters.senate.gov
blair_mallin@klobuchar.senate.gov
michael_weiss@smith.senate.gov
jen_jett@wicker.senate.gov
alex_calhoon@hydesmith.senate.gov
scheduling@blunt.senate.gov
ellen_james@hawley.senate.gov
trecia_mcevoy@tester.senate.gov
caitlin_affolter@daines.senate.gov
allison_haindfield@fischer.senate.gov
sarah_peer@sasse.senate.gov
anaisy_tolentino@cortezmasto.senate.gov
nicole_echeto@rosen.senate.gov
meaghan_darcy@shaheen.senate.gov
catherine_george@hassan.senate.gov
robert_kelly@menendez.senate.gov
scheduler@booker.senate.gov
devon_wohl@tomudall.senate.gov
schedule@heinrich.senate.gov
michelle_mittler@schumer.senate.gov
annie_hwang@gillibrand.senate.gov
burr_scheduling@burr.senate.gov
angela_schulze@tillis.senate.gov
sydney_fitzpatrick@hoeven.senate.gov
rachel_buening@cramer.senate.gov
diana_baron@brown.senate.gov
angie_youngen@portman.senate.gov
wendi_price@inhofe.senate.gov
jaclyn_oneil@lankford.senate.gov
montana_judd@wyden.senate.gov
carly_vandegrift@merkley.senate.gov
Jessica_Butherus@casey.senate.gov
danielle_quercia@toomey.senate.gov
rosanne_haroian@reed.senate.gov
leah_seigle@whitehouse.senate.gov
alice_james@lgraham.senate.gov
brie_kelly@scott.senate.gov
daffnei_riedel@thune.senate.gov
jordan_fashimpaur@rounds.senate.gov
alicyn_york@alexander.senate.gov
grace_burch@blackburn.senate.gov
paige_kerr@cornyn.senate.gov
Mimi_OGrady@cruz.senate.gov
kate_cannon@lee.senate.gov
matt_waldrip@romney.senate.gov
kevin_mcdonald@leahy.senate.gov
jacob_gillison@sanders.senate.gov
malcolm_fouhy@warner.senate.gov
kate_mccarroll@kaine.senate.gov
meghan_mahoney@murray.senate.gov
sheila_dwyer@cantwell.senate.gov
bryar_davis@manchin.senate.gov
lauren_russell@capito.senate.gov
chloe_pickle@ronjohnson.senate.gov
carolyn_walser@baldwin.senate.gov
alana_hyman@enzi.senate.gov
kathi_wise@barrasso.senate.gov
scheduling_harris@harris.senate.gov
angelica_annino@gillibrand.senate.gov
Sarah_Fairchild@mcconnell.senate.gov

我不大相信这个表格,连续六年全世界除印度外所有国家职业移民绿卡没有???? impossible
美国人不要欧洲白人要你印度人?

其次,为什么2020年,2021年rest of world绿卡还有而中国没有

众所周之,除了印度,只有中国有排期。这2021年,2020年不符合任何逻辑。

说的很对,数据确实 fishy

赞同楼上的

参考

1 Like

看来烙印对华人使出了连环杀手锏,招招毙命。。。华人悲催

楼主转发的这篇文章,是那个一亩三分地论坛的W写的吧,纯属瞎带节奏,居然还能想出“寸草不生”这么个词,low爆了。转到1o24论坛显得1o24论坛很low。

为啥说是 瞎带节奏 啊??

mitbbs 戾气很重啊


发信人: tede (tede), 信区: JobHunting 标 题: 我支持HR1044 发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jul 14 16:18:39 2019, 美东)

华人真是没有种。 在AA的法案上要求平权,在HR1044又要求国别限制。

有本事跟老印硬杠,在新法案条例下忽悠更多国内的人来美国,在职场上提高自己能力,做manager 招国人,多参与政治,多捐钱到政治项目里。
而不是希望这种国别法案继续庇护自己。

为啥说是瞎带节奏?因为引用的数据不准确,有误导性质。

无语。这纯属乱喷了。在AA的法案上要求平权的是一拨人,在HR1044要求国别限制的是另一拨人,根本是不同的两拨人啊。

终于留学生不用操心绿卡。。。